Содержание
- 2. LECTURE 8 BASICS OF TIME SERIES. FORECASTING Temur Makhkamov Indira Khadjieva QM Module Leader Room IB
- 3. Lecture outline: to estimate the change of a value over time and graph the dynamics of
- 4. Components of time series graph Trend – the overall pattern of changes in a specific value
- 5. Additive Model
- 6. Multiplicative Model
- 7. Case 1: quarterly computer sales
- 8. Graphical representation Time series graph
- 9. Additive model (1) Draw the trend line using the equation function (Trend) Subtract trend (CMA) value
- 10. Additive model (2) Forecasted trendline
- 11. Additive model (3)
- 12. Additive model (4)
- 13. Additive model (5) Average of average deviations Average deviations minus Adjustment
- 14. Additive model (6)
- 15. Multiplicative model (1) Draw the trend line using the equation function (Trend) Divide the actual value
- 16. Multiplicative model (2)
- 17. Multiplicative model (3) Average of average deviations Average deviations divided by Adjustment
- 18. Multiplicative model (4) Trend line for the 4th quarter of 2021 indicates that the value equals
- 19. Concluding remarks Today, you learnt Graphical display of the change of a value over time Time
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